The Obama Foreign Policy Crisis
You have to look back into the 1930’s to understand the cost of blinking at the small tests until we faced WW II, Patrick Buchanan’s “Unnecessary War.” That war, WW II, was in fact an accretion of small decisions that taken by themselves may have been minor, but taken as a whole created the largest and bloodiest conflict ever seen in the history of mankind.
As a counterpoint, we are perhaps very fortunate, to a degree will we may never realize, that Reagan was able to avert the calamity of the Cold War from turning into a full scale shooting war.
The US Navy looked at the causes of major mishaps and found, on average, there were six “switches” that represented decision points that led to that mishap. If one was switched off, the entire mishap would have been averted. As an aside, it’s interesting reading Into Thin Air with that perspective.
Obama’s going to blink and blink. Switch after switch will remain “on.” He will be specifically tested by our adversaries to an extent that Reagan (or McCain) will not. If our electorate doesn’t realize it, our adversaries realize that political hothouse environment, in which Obama grew up, does not prepare one for decision making such as war. The environment of the Chicago political machine that anointed its candidates and in doing so, made their election a foregone conclusion. An environment where opposition could be easily be slapped down; sometimes with persuasion from thugs from the local union hall.
This is an environment that populates the Democratic hierarchy with lightweights that keep getting re-elected from safe seats, but does little to prepare them of adversity. Their re-elections largely hinge on their ability to bring home pork. Free government checks, abortion, gay marriage. Unfortunately, this will do little to deter the aggression of say, Islamic imperialism.
The real crisis is that these accretion of foreign policy blinks that Biden alluded to last Sunday will eventually bring on a very large crisis. The old USSR pulled their punches on the matter of nuclear weapons because much of its leadership lived through WW II; and were lucky to have lived through it at all. With Islamic imperialism, we have a death cult not seen since the Aztecs that will not have such inhibitions with regards to nuclear weapon use.
Right now, we are holding Islamic imperialism at bay with an essentially a peace time army. We are able to do so because we are intervening early in this conflict. It is easy to see how self-inflicted defeats by the US, engineered by the likes of Obama can embolden our enemies to ramp up this war to a scale not seen since WW II.
And, once such a calamity comes to pass, what more will Obama blink at. In WW II, the draft was re-instated and ten percent of the American population was place in uniform and under arms. This was a conflict of national survival that no longer respected the distinction of civilian populations. As, the tempo of American casualties mounted in the Pacific War, there arose a systematic bombing offensive that firebombed Japanese city after Japanese city. One could argue that despite the “inevitability” of victory, that after the carnage of Okinawa, Truman chose atomic bombs over an invasion of the Japanese Islands. Even with victory “at hand,” Truman realized that he had to make a choice. A choice as to whether this victory would come with the price of more American or Japanese causalities. As Commander-in-Chief of the American military; he had to choose in favor of American lives.
Will citizen-of-the-World Obama make such a choice. What will it be; President Obama or UN Secretary General Obama. With each blink, the next choice will only get harder.